CAR Prepares for the Polls as President Pursues a Third Term

On Sunday, the Central African Republic will undertake a crucial quadruple election, including the presidential race, national assembly, and municipal offices.

A Competitive Presidential Field

A field of seven contenders are competing for the top office, among them ex-premiers Anicet Georges Dologuélé and Henri-Marie Dondra. Both men were cleared to stand by the high court after being initially barred. Dologuélé finished second in the 2015 and 2020 votes, while Dondra had a short tenure under the current president.

Opposition Hopes and Public Discontent

The opposition aims to capitalize on widespread frustration in a country where conflict remains a constant threat. More than half a million people are displaced within their own country, with a comparable figure living as refugees in bordering states.

"This represents an chance to commend the significant progress of the nation," noted a UN regional official, though he added that obstacles remain.

Touadéra's Expected Victory

Despite the challenges, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, a former mathematics professor, is widely expected to secure another term. He transitioned into politics in 2008 when appointed prime minister, holding the post until a insurgent alliance toppled the government in 2013, sparking a sectarian conflict.

After a turbulent transition period, his reputation for impartiality from the main militias powered his runoff win in 2016.

Security Concerns and Voting Challenges

There are fears that logistical problems and insecurity could mar the electoral process, particularly in rural areas. The UN peacekeeping mission, Minusca, is providing security and logistical support that the state's crumbling infrastructure cannot manage.

Additional problems include the voter list being published only online, a significant barrier in a nation with scarce online access. These irregularities have led to an electoral boycott and could, according to observers, "exclude many of the population."

Stakes of a Third Term

Many residents fear that another term for Touadéra—enabled by a 2023 charter change that abolished term limits and extended mandates—would entail expanded sway for outside interests.

The president has put faith in the Russian mercenary group Wagner for his protection, and despite its founder's death, has resisted calls to integrate its fighters into a new structure. In contrast, Rwanda has pursued a different approach, focusing on business interests within CAR.

Allegations of Asset Sales

Recent reports have claimed the government removed its own soldiers from a internationally financed facility to make way for a Rwandan agricultural project. A pro-opposition commentary charged the leadership of being "intent on sell off the nation bit by bit."

Despite a recent peace accord with armed factions offering a glimmer of stabilization, the election proceeds under a shadow of doubt and external competition.