Supporters of Newcastle United are progressively regarding Eddie Howe's side as a fickle ally. At their brilliant best, they can be the very entertainers, delivering breathtaking displays. However, on other occasions, key figures like their midfield linchpin and others completely do not show up.
Adding to the frustration is a late-game strategy suffused by a worrying element of panic. Ahead of their holiday fixture to Manchester United, the facts tell a sobering story: the team has dropped thirteen crucial Premier League leverage from winning situations this campaign and are without a clean sheet in ten consecutive games in every tournament. Securing a win at Old Trafford would be only their second league success on the road this year.
On the flip side, defeat has only come once in their most recent 6 league fixtures, and although occupying a modest 11th spot, they are a mere six points off the highly-prized top four. Add in an looming two-legged League Cup last-four clash against the reigning champions and a reasonable prospect of moving on to the European Cup last 16, and it is easier to understand the gaffer's guarded optimism.
“It's not only about difficulties,” remarked the team's manager. “We have assets as well. My glass is firmly half full currently. I realize everybody else could have a divergent take, but in my view we're getting better.”
The puzzle is: can this squad recapture – or even exceed – the heights of the previous campaign's cup glory and European-qualifying standing? Managing a packed calendar makes this difficult.
This tiredness may account for the failure to sustain a superb first-half showing versus Chelsea, eventually squandering a two-goal lead to draw 2-2. Likewise, it is possibly the reason for a lackluster display in a damaging defeat to arch-rivals Sunderland, where the side looked sluggish just a short time after a grueling European excursion.
While coaching is clearly the manager's strength, the constant schedule of two games a week football has drastically cut into valuable practice time. This slows the team's tactical adjustment to operating with summer signing their number nine up front, rather than the now departed Alexander Isak. While hugely skilled, Woltemade does not possess the equivalent blistering breakaway speed or intense defensive work rate.
Indeed, the team's signature high press has sporadically malfunctioned. Injuries to vital engine the Brazilian midfielder have exacerbated matters, while high-profile signings the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have struggled adapting after their big-money moves.
While a move to a three-man defense might arguably help the cause, a full-blown backline injury crisis renders that problematic. Key full-backs will be absent for the upcoming crucial matches, straining the team's resources.
At their energetic best, they look almost unplayable. The problem is maintaining that intensity for the full 90 minutes. The go-to plan B of dropping deep into a passive counter-attacking shape has at times proven counterproductive.
“The Chelsea game descended into chaotic at two-all,” admitted the manager. “But we were trying to win. We always go out to secure the three points.”
What appears necessary is a middle ground – with better ball control, a engine room capable of slowing the tempo, and a realistic willingness to sometimes settle for a point. Yet, a ambition to challenge on every competitions is testing thin squad options to their limit.
It may sound unthinkable to some, but a different strategy in the cup competitions in the initial stages could have alleviated the present schedule pile-up. With vital European and Premier League games on the agenda, the necessity to carefully choose focus areas is growing increasingly apparent.
The manager recognized the scale of the task remaining. “Being at this club, the expectations are immense. Every moment's critical. We have work to do in the league. We're in the Carabao Cup last four, we want to progress in the Europe and perform in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the right direction, but we have lots of improvement to do to transform into the consistently successful team we want to be. The ability to string together winning runs has deserted us this season.
“The task is to hit those heights we know we're able to reach. My feeling is that the assurance to do that is growing. But nowadays we have to show it. It's not all bad right now, but the upcoming fixtures will shape a great deal.”
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